Academic Catalog

BUS451 BUSINESS FORECASTING

Course Code: 3530451
METU Credit (Theoretical-Laboratory hours/week): 3(3-0)
ECTS Credit: 6.0
Department: Business Administration
Language of Instruction: English
Level of Study: Undergraduate
Course Coordinator: Assoc.Prof.Dr. YASEMÝN M. UZGÖREN
Offered Semester: Fall Semesters.
Prerequisite: Set 1: 3530152
The course set above should be completed before taking BUS451 BUSINESS FORECASTING .

Course Content

Introduction to quantitative and subjective forecasting methods. Evaluating forecast accuracy. Smoothing methods: Simple, Holt’s and Winters’ exponential smoothing techniques. Forecasting with Regression Methods: Forecasting with simple linear trend, using casual regression models, and forecasting with Multiple regression models. Time-series Decomposition models. Finding seasonal indexes, and long-term trend, and measuring cyclical component. Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) forecasting models. Introdution to simulation usage in forecasting. Combining Forecast results and Forecast Implementation are areas covered in the course.