Academic Catalog

BA4511 BUSINESS FORECASTING

Course Code: 3124511
METU Credit (Theoretical-Laboratory hours/week): 3(3-0)
ECTS Credit: 6.0
Department: Business Administration
Language of Instruction: English
Level of Study: Undergraduate
Course Coordinator: Prof.Dr. RAMAZAN SARI
Offered Semester: Fall Semesters.
Prerequisite: Set 1: 2460252
Set 2: 3121502
Set 3: 3125501
Set 4: 3160152
One of the sets above should be completed before taking BA4511 BUSINESS FORECASTING .

Course Content

Introduction to quantitative and subjective forecasting methods. Evaluating forecast accuracy. Smoothing methods: Simple, Holt`s and Winters` exponential smoothing techniques. Forecasting with Regression Methods: Forecasting with simple linear trend, using casual regression models, and forecasting with Multiple regression models. Time-series Decomposition models. Finding seasonal indexes, the long-term trend, and measuring cyclical component. Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) forecasting models. Introduction to simulation usage in forecasting. Combining Forecast results and Forecast Implementation.